HomeMy WebLinkAbout01/27/2009 Council Presentation- Water Briefing Water Utility Briefing
Implementing a Self-Sufficient
Water Utility Enterprise
January 27, 2009
Discussion Objectives
• January 20
- Overview of the need for a rate adjustment
• Tonight - Study Session
- Historical information
- Current situation - rate options evaluated
- Future impacts
• February 20 - Public Hearing
z
H istorical Perspective
• 1990 - Town began providing water
service with general fund subsidy
• July 1992 - Rate increased
• 1996 - Rate increased to current base
• 1997 - Town purchased additional water
companies
• 1998 - All customers' rates standardized
• 2006 - Implemented conservation tier
3
Why transition to a self-sufficient
water utility enterprise?
• Water is important for economic development,
sustainability and to control the Town's destiny
• Consistent with best practices of municipal
utilities
• Provides future bonding capability in water fund
• Financial transparency (distinct and separate
from the General Fund; fee for service)
4
Costs included in a self-sufficient
water utility enterprise:
• Operational costs
• Central Arizona Groundwater
Replenishment District costs
• Repair costs
• Technical consulting fees
• Administrative - indirect cost recovery
• Debt payments and debt coverage ratio
• 2 months of required coverage margin
5
Other components of a self-
sufficient water utility enterprise:
• Master planning
• CIP planning
- Replacement of aging infrastructure
- Facility upgrades for redundancy
- Planned growth needs
• Annual evaluation of financial health
- Revenue review and rate review
- Impact fee review .
~
Industry Standard for a Self-Sufficient
Water Enterprise Utility:
• Costs of providing services are apportioned and
recovered from those who use the system
• Enterprise borrows money based on its own
revenue
• Rates ensure sufficient "debt-coverage" for
borrowing
Importance of Debt Coverage
• Standard and Poor's criteria
<1.Ox Insufficient
1.Ox to 1.25x Adequate
1.26x to 1.50x Good
> 1.50x Strong
• Therefore the level of required coverage
margin becomes critical
8
TOM evaluation of current financial status:
$,z,ooo,ooo
$~o,ooo,ooo
$a,ooo,ooo -
$6,000,000
$4,000,000 - Revenues
$2,000,000 - -~st of Service
$0 - - - - - - . _ _ _ _
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
9
Assumptions
(included in the rate model)
• Evaluate water demand for five years
• Estimate electrical and chemical costs
• Analyze growth for the next five years
• Acquire future accounts - economies of
scale
• Anticipate staff requirements
• Calculate debt service and coverage
requirements
10
Assumptions (continued)
• Implement preventive maintenance
program
• Develop five year CIP
~ Finalize CMID dissolution
~ Acquire additional CAP water
• Establish required coverage margin
11
Variables
(not included in the rate model)
• Impact of foreclosures
- Reduction in consumption is leading indicator
• Additional economic fluctuations
- Commercial impacts
- Effect of state budget cuts
- Inflation
• Northwest Providers partnership
• Bureau of Reclamation/CAP partnership
• Unanticipated costs to acquire additional
accounts
,2
Rate Options Considered
• Scenario A - Recommended adjustment
(Economists.com)
• Scenario B- No rate adjustment
• Scenario C- Delay rate adjustment to
January, 2010
~ Scenario D- No acquisition of additional
accounts
13
A: Recommended Rate Adjustment
2009 2010 2017 2012
Base Rate $ 15.12 $ 15.72 $ 16.35 $ 17.01
Base Ad'ustment 8.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Usa e Ad'ustment 8.00% 4.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Total Revenue $ 3,072,703 $ 6,589,461 $ 6,872,511 $ 8,210,060
Total Planned Ex ense $ 2,842,903 $ 6,267,838 $ 6,828,199 $ 7,221,564
Re 'd Covera e Mar in" $ 229,800 $ 321,623 $ 44,311 $ 988,497
Debt Coveraae:
With Impact Fees 3.37 1.30 1.39 1.84
W/Out Im act Fees 2.71 1.23 1.16 1.59
'Available for contingency and debt coverage retio
14
Water Infrastructure Finance
Authority of Arizona
• Completes an annual water and
wastewater rate survey
avg change from 06 to 07 = 5.45%
- 7,500 gallons $34.02
avg change from 05 to 06 = 6.26%
- 7,500 gallons $32.26
WIFA 2007 Water and Wastewater
Residential Rate Survey for the State of Arizona
15
WI FA 2007 survey information
Average Monthly Charge
5,000 to 10,000 connections
7,500 gallons $31.16
10,001 to 50,000 connections
7,500 gallons $25.57
Over 50,000 connections
7,500 gallons $17.47
WIFA 2007 Water and Wastewater
Residential Rate Survey for the State of Arizona
16
Comparison of
Surrounding Providers
$2~~ ~ .
9 tes
$180 l Existin Marana Ra ~ I~
$160 Tucson Water i '
$140 -Metro I
- Proposed Marana Rates j
~ $12D
a~
- Oro Valle
Y
E
N $100 ,
U $80 - ~ -
N $60 I ~
v $40 ~ ~
~
~ $20 ~
o - " i
~ $0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Nbnthly Water Usage (1000 galions)
17
Oro Valley Water Rates for 10,000 gallons
sso oa , _ _
sas.oo ~ - -
sao.oo ~ - -
535.00 I
q 530.00 ii _ - . _ _
~ I
~ _
- $25.00 ~
3 $2D.00 I
I $15.00 i . . ~
I $1D.00 . ~ .
I I - _ _ _ . . .
I 55.00 ~ . _ _ _ . . .
, . .
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Year
18
Bill Comparison - 7,000 gallons
Marana`
Oro Metro
Current Proposed Valley" Water" $35 $33.02
$29.04 $30.27
$30 $26.90
Base $ 14.00 $ 15.12 $ 13.91 $14.31 $zs
$20
Usage 12.90 13.93 19.11 t5.96
$15
$10
Total $26.90 $ 29.05 $ 33 02 $3027 $5
$0
Difference $ 2 15 $ 3.97 $ ~ 22 Current Proposed Oro Valley Metro Wtr
" Marana'S base rate InGutles 1,000 gallons ° Base rates include ZcRO gallons ~ ~ ~
WIFA 2007 avg for 7,500 gallons $34.02
19
Proposed Rate Plan •
Effectlve Effective Effective Effective Effective
Current Mar-09 Jan-10 Jan-17 Jan-12 Jan-13
Residential Monthly Charges 3l4"
7,000 $ 26.90 $ 29.05 $ 30.21 $ 31.42 $ 32.68 $ 33.99
Increase 2.15 1.16 1.21 1.26 1.31
10,000 33.35 36.02 37.46 38.96 40.52 42.14
Increase 2.67 1.44 1.50 1.56 1.62
Commercial Monthly Charges 2"
50,000 172.85 186.68 194.15 201.91 209.99 216.39
Increase 13.83 7.47 7.77 8.08 8.40
20
B: V1/hat happens without a rate
adjustment?
2009 2010 2071 2012
Base Rate $ 14.00 $ 14.00 $ 14.00 ~ 14.00
Base Ad'ustment 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Usa e Ad~ustment 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Total Revenue $ 3,023,791 $ 6,082,648 $ 6,131,924 $ 7,058,172
Total Planned Ex ense $ 2,842,903 $ 6,267,838 $ 6,828,199 ~ 7,221,564
Re 'd Covera e Mar in* $ 180,889 $ 185,190 $ 696,276 $ 163,392
Debt Coveraae:
With Impact Fees 3.17 1.07 1.05 1.32
W/Out Im act Fees 2.50 1.00 0.82 1.07
"Available for contingency and debt coverage ratio
21
C: Effect of delaying a rate
increase until January 2010
2009 2010 2011 2012
Base Rate $ 14.00 $ 15.72 $ 16.35 $ 17.00
Base Ad~ustment 0.00% 12.29% 4.00% 4.00%
Usa e Ad'ustment 0.00% 12.29°/o 4.00% 4.00%
Totai Revenue $ 3,023,791 $ 6,346,362 $ 6,870,691 $ 8,207,833
Totai Planned Ex ense $ 2,842,903 $ 6,267,838 5 6.828,199 $ 7,221,564
Re 'd Covera e Mar in* $ 180,889 $ 78,524 $ 42,491 $ 986,270
Debt Coveraae:
With Impact Fees 3.17 1.19 1.39 1.84
WiOut im act Fees 2.50 1.12 1.15 1.59
"Available for contingency and debt coverage ratio
z2
D: Effect without acquisition:
2009 2010 2011 2012
Base Rate $ 15.12 $ 17.54 $ 18.77 $ 19.52
Base Ad'ustment 8.00% 16.00% 7.00% 4.00%
Usa e Ad~ustment 8.00% 16.00% 7.00% 4.00%
Total Revenue $ 3,072,703 $ 3,426,704 $ 3,806;098 $ 4,036,158
Total Planned Ex ense $ 2,842,902 $ 3,352,302 $ 3,636,151 $ 3,811,546
Re 'd Covera e Mar in $ 229,801 $ 74,402 $ 169,947 $ 224,612
Debt Coveraae:
With Impact Fees 3.37 2.39 2.75 3.13
W/Out Im act Fees 2.71 1.67 1.94 2.11
'Available for continaency and debt coverage ra?io
23
Comparison of Scenario Base Rates
2009 2010 2011 2072
Scen A-- Recommended $ 15.12 $ 15.72 $ 16.35 $ 17.01
Scen B-- No Increase $ 14.00 $ 14.00 $ 14.00 $ 14.00
Scen C-- Jan 2010 Increase $ 14.00 $ 15.72 $ 16.35 $ 17.01
Scen D-- No New Accts $ 15.12 $ 17.54 $ 18.77 $ 19.52
24
Benefits of the recommended rate
• Provides long term water resource sustainability
• Long term plan for rate stability
• Supports the Strategic Plan Initiative -"Secure
all necessary water resources and infrastructure"
(Community Building)
• Allows for some instability in water consumption
• Allows for initial work related to partnership
opportunities
• Borrowing capacity and debt service coverage
• Phases out reliance on General Fund and pays
its fair share of administrative costs
25
TOM evaluation of current financial status:
~~z,ooo,aoo -
$io,ooo,ooo -
~a,ooo,ooo -
$s,ooo,ooo
I _ _ - -
$4,000,000 ; - Revenues
$2,000 000 ' - ~st of Service
,
$0 - _
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2~18
26 s
TOM Self-Sufficient Water Utility
Enterprise Fund
$,2~~~0~~0~
$10,000,000
$8,000,000 -
$6,000,000 -
$4,000,000 - I - Revenues ~
$2,000,000 'I -Costof Service I,
$0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
27
Remember the benefits of an
enterprise fund include:
• Water is important for economic development,
sustainability and to control the Town's destiny
• Consistent with best practices of larger (or
growing) municipal utilities
• Provides future bonding capability in water fund
• Financial transparency (distinct and separate
from the General Fund; fee for service)
z8
Summary
• WIFA's survey indicates average water and ww utilities'
rates are increasing 5-6% per year
• Rate adjustments provide funding for ongoing expenses
which include: planned versus reactive maintenance
• Required coverage margin provide borrowing capacity
• Acquisition of new accounts are expected to result in
economies of scale that will benefit ratepayers
• Town staff will continue to review rates and bring any
necessary adjustments to Council on an annual basis
2s
Rate adjustment
communication plan
Questions
~
~
WATER RATE ADJUSTMENT
PRELIMINARY PROPOSED COMMUNICATION PLAN
(as of 1/27/09)
Ke~messages
*Town utilities department must be self-sufficient (cover emergency replacement reserves, operating cost
increases, capital improvements, cost of water acquisition, etc.)
*Most water providers have either recently raised rates or are considering such action (average statewide
increase is 5% to 6% annually-provide state and regional statistics for the "average user) to compare the current
and proposed Marana bill for an average user)
*Last rate adjustment resulting in an increase for the AVERAGE Marana ~s~o~aer's bill was in 1998 (provide
information on historical rate increases). The rate adjustment impleme~in 2006 (approved 2005) moved
customers to a conservation tier, tied to usage-the average custome~i~~;~00 gallo~ns per month or fewer
should not have seen an increase in their bill related to the 2006 ad~t~ment.~
*The water utility is maturing to an industry standard enterprise~~d fliat requ to move away from
reliance on general fund support general fund monies are n~ded to maintain the
'~~~n's "rainy day" fund and
to provide other town programs (police, parks, etc.) durin~~s econor~aic crisis when~~~es for such
programs are declining
*The rate adjustment gives the water utility another financing t~~~k~1providing the capacity to bond for water
acquisition and majar capital (infrastructure). T~e rate adjustment ~vides the emergency reserves, sometimes
called contingency, that bond rating agencies anc~ ` holders look ~a~~ determine the health of a potential
investment. - = =
Key dates
Jan. 20: First presentation made to~~ ~
Jan. 27: Council study session c~;~vater ra~~°; (discussiori'~f options)
Jan. 30: Gilbert one-on-one ~~s with ~r and Maran~_Weekly News
Feb. 3, 10 and 17: Council meeting~~r~sid:~~~~i~ht atten~-and ask questions)
, -
Feb. 9: Gilbert one-on-~r~eting w~-~xp
o=~-
Feb. 20: Public forum on ra~~ a~~tmenf _ ~
- - =
Public informatio~hicles
*News releases prior~~iudy session ~~'id public forum
*Bill stuffers (February'~or March l~ls)
*Town newsletter (Februar~~nd Mar~ issues)
*Town Web site "
*HOA newsletter updates (Febri~i'y and March issues)
*Messages in Marana Weekly News and Northwest Explorer (February and March)
*Information booths at Town events (Founders' Day March 21, State of the Town Apri124,) and HOA events
*Gilbert one-on-one meetings with Shelley Shelton from the Star and Chuck Barth from the Marana Weekly
(Jan. 30) and Laura Marble from the Explorer (Feb. 9)
*Gilbert/Deb/utilities department meetings with three Council challengers
*Chamber breakfasts/lunches
*Invite electronic media for meetings with Gilbert, Barbara, Brad and Dorothy (any combination)
*Citizen advocates as bloggers (members of utilities commission, etc.) .
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~September 15. 2008
~~it~~i~ ~ ~~v~~~~~~~~t~ ~ ~3.5, ~~~li~ Fi~~~~~: ~
~~~i~y ~~~~i~
~.~i ~ ~
Primary Cred'a# linalysfis:
Ti~eodore Chapman, Uallas (1) 214-871 1401; theodore_chapman@standardandpoors com
James VViemken. Chic~,go (1) 312-233-7005; ja~nes_wiemkenC~standartlandpoors.com
{~`~~st~'1~Y~
Readiizg Behi~3tl The Niimvers
Key Rating ]-~act~rs
A Note of Cai~tic~n
I~ey R~tic~s
~3~c~?~~e Le~rels -~~~~L~sehoicl/I'e~- C~~pitz EfCecti~;e P~~~yi~1g lncol~ae As t~
Percenta~e C?f U.So Level
I~e~t Ser~; ice Cave~•a~e
Liq~~ici~~ty ~
~'~t~~1 I~e~t'I'c~ I'~Tet Trope~ty, Plt~~1t Ar~d ~,qt~iptne~i~
~ ~1 Q Custfln~~~rs f~s f1 Pgrcentaoe C~f Tot~~ C~peratii~g Revenues
~ixL~-~-C;harye ~~c~veraye
~~v~rv+~.sta~~~a~d~~?}~~~r~.c~ir~fratira~su'srect l
SYaudard & Poor ; Ail rights reservecl No eprint o~ di~s i.iinatur. ~,vithoai S&P's ~~-~nission Sa Terms of ~
UseiDisclairrier or the iast E,age
~
G~i~~ri~ j~~~~~~~r~~~~~ ~ U,S, P~~S1i~ Fi~a~~~~.
~~.~y 5~ ~r ~.~~~lity ~r~d~t ~ti~
ib4~inicipally-owned util,ities eontii~ue to denlousrrate rating stability antl solicl-investnlent-grade fi,nanciat nletrics
c~espite concern abt~ut ciirrent eco~l~n~ic conditions and tlae in3pact on local g~vcrnments (see el~e article, "U.S.
I'~iblic ~^inznce R~p~rt Ca~d; ~X/t~ter Si~pply Pressures Could Test The Stability OF Proviclers," dated ~'eb. 4, 2008, on
RatingsDirect).
The represent~ti~~e ranges of ratios for ~uater a~~d/or sewer utility rever~ue bond isstzers 1~elow provides an indication,
thro~~~h the ~~se of descriptors, of what coilstit~ites a llig,h t~ lotiv ratia ~rotn an ai~ali~tical credit perspective. T'he
selected ratios re}~res~nr. key~ faceors Sraxidar~i c~ Poor's Ratings Seruices ~ises in thc creclit ratiz~ig process.
~'~~I~inicipaliti~s ~na_v also t~tvz~ ar~d/or operate oti~er enierp~~ises sucli as elecrri:; utilities, soli~ w~ste or other syst~erns.
Za'hilc n~~ny vf thc ~n~t~-ic addresscd~ beio~,~ <1so are pait of the analysis for~ thcse vther enterprises, Stanc(arti &
~ I'c>oc's ~cili address kev r~~tios spec~fically for th;~se enterprises ~.t a l~eer date,
~~l~ie ratios con~plv~nent ~ta~ldard & i'oor's periodi~ upcfates o; historical meciian ratir~s for r~tcd ~~tilities. (These
mesli~~ns represent nzea.s~are; of ee<~nomic, financial, and system i~~~ebt~d~less cl~ar~cteristics.) The st~tistics i-vill drift
i~~ anc# do~~zn d~iring ecot~~>mic cycles bccaus~° Stanclaa•~-1 ~ Poor's analysis is fortivard lookixlg. In recent years, ~he
incdi<ans h<~ve teildecl to oi~tperforn~ analytic~al gijideli~les.
Howevc~-, it is not ihe case that a? issuer inust attain certain financial inetrics in order to g~~~u-antee a certain ~-ating
or i-aein~ Iev~.L Financial conditi<~~n -~lisro, ical, current, and lil<ely f~iture is only~ t~ne of the criteri~~ ~oinrs for a
~;~,rar~r ~n~ svwe~~ utility r~v~niie bo~~d rating. ~
.
s~~la~a=; 3~£'.~11[~~ ~ ~~E: !~`ti1..3iII~~(:'1°~
i,`~ear~5, parric~?larly fc> l~sser-~~ei~(ite~( 3~atios, r~iay gi~~e a talse i?npression in cert<iin ca,es th:~t deciations fi-t3m t(1c~
m~ans may ir7~ply the ~1cer_3 fur a rating ~a~;ang~, tiv~~jes~ in iac~ c~~c n~av I~cli~s~c tl,ere is anatyticz~l conirc~rt in a L~road
l>~nd o~E nur~ibers toi• a p~rric?~1<ir ratio.
E~_ampies of t11is ph~~izoxnPno~7 are evicl~zl_r vvhe3~ co~~iparialg lcev ratit~ einge~ tt~ t11e ~nea~~s for sin,il~~- ratios. While ~l
ci•edit viith iic~~iidity of six nz;~nr;~s' ~ash on hai~d t=~ould be technic~alt~~ °~elov~ aver<igc," reiative to the rated
u3~iverse <~f iss~:~~:is, retil~c{ie€s of:>y~stci~~ srze, ivc ~x~txild ne~ertlleless li~ccly view ie as hatiirlg strcng s~<lsh resc~•ves.
Stmila~-1y, t~z1 issuer ~virh toial c1c~~* service cr~-ver~gv of al1 ca'bfigarions of 1,4x, ~neaning pletiyed revenues ~~re 40%
~rcater thaf? tl~ae reve,-~~e ree~uiretnents, ~>oulcl likel_y be characterized as "goo~1," all <~>t'ncr thin~s (~ein~ equa(.
y i~r~tii~~; ~'e~.i'~t?~'~
Tlie rel~t~~uc ~~cighr ot cach faeic~~ i~ dis~ussed i~~ d~.t~ii i;~ Stanc~~rd &.('~c3r's Criteria section <~n 1~~~in~,~sllir-ect {tlle
a~lc~st rec~nt ai-ticle :~a; }>ta(~I~s!~e~! Siiile ?5, 2007). tiv'~~en ev.3luatit~g water and 5~ ~;v~r systei~ls, Stai~d~~rc1 & Poo~-'s
cYa~r~ines six mair~ fr~ct<>rs,
Sta,~;i ~.rcj & Pc~~r's ~~~s~gs~~~~ect ~ September 15, 20~8 2
Sr~3i,~~;~rd u'o s~II righis ~eea p'o rPrnn-nr diss n~ina'.ioa ~,.iti~u_,t S&' s ~,..r ~ssion Se~ i,:~ms m Js. /Oisrlai; ~er or the hsi pa~e
~ r
C:r°iteri~a I Got~E~~~~z7rrents I U.S, Yia~~fic rin~an~e: t<e~g~ «~~ier fl;~a~~ Sewer i~tility~ Credii Rcttin Rct~zges
~ Ecor~omic co3~sider~iTiorts;
a Pin~7ncial dae~l/c~pitzil irnprav~e~~3ient plan;
• ~Zate criteria;
~ C)~eratioi7~~~1 ch~racteristics;
* i~Ianagen~eilt; and
• Legal ~rovisio~ls.
Variation in the rel~~tive strengths or wealcnesses ot any ~f these factucs c~n influencc our opinion af
creditworthiness and, accordingly, our ratings. Additioile~~lly, there is no dependez~t relationship beteveen a general
abligatit~n (GO) i°ati~7g and the re~~enue relting of the sa~nc enti*y. lliic to t1~e si~nificance of the service area arlcl
econoinic base in oui~ analysis and tl~e freqi~ent ovcrlap of senior st~aff ~~t the gc~vernme~~t ~nd utility levels, the~
i•atirlas ~f GC) bonds a~ad revenu~ l~onds rei3d to be close, bzat ti~ere is also significant roc~n~ for divergence, as sc~en in ~
the c=ase of Jeffersoz~~ Co~znty~, ~1~.
1-~ ~'~t~ C;~~t~~~r~
Rlrios d~ not t~l! tlle w~ole stor}~ they aa-c or11y a~t~rtion oF ~vhat Staridard F~ Poor's uscs i~1 its analysis.
Economic„ ad~ninistrativc, stractur~zl, an~i <jtl-~er q~~alitatzve Eactoa-s 3-nay otltwei~h any of tlzese ~~~~tios ~~hen a ra~tiny is
assignec{. Numbcrs aloi7e ca~ri<jr deter3nine an en~ity's willingr~ess to rneet its fi~lancial o6ligations, nor c~an thcy ~
reveal ~a hist~ry of z~eacriti~~ or nr>nexistent rate adjusts~ejits o~~ the ~~~peratiilg ~°estraints pres~c~ted by the st~te/local
frti~ne~vork,
Tne kes~ r~tios belo~~ cio not represe~~t a cois~~lete set of the r~tios Stancl~lrcl & F'at~r's use~s irz its ~nalvsis. ti`~/e also
inc~r}~orate i~n#ormsztion from m~ny i3~trri~al and extea-a~~1 databasesP 13cpen~in~ on various ceeciit conditions, certain
ratios can tal<e o3~ ~~~o3-e sig~~ificance tl~~3n c~thers. In acltiition, a n~~i~licipal entity's trerlds in a~iy of these r~tios inay
be ~nore im~oa-tant to us tl~aa the histc>rical rativs. A rating, after all, is p~~os~ective in nat~irc.
~~~~t~~S
I~~~,~~~~~~} ~ ~-~~~:~~~;~~~~l~~a ~'~r ~_';~~~~:~i~~~ ~~~~~~~-t~ ~~~,t~~~~~ e~~.~ ~~e.~~~:~;ri~~~~;
~i,~. ~.~~~~;i _
As is the case ~rith r~,~ deUr ratings, u~ealih and it-~come levels are ar~ ii~z~ortant credit factor la ou3~ a~lalysis, as trley
pi-ovide insight regar~ing ti~e ect~~7t>~nic res~~u~•ces of a utility's service area. tt. d~es not nc~essarily ina~?iy the rate
L~asc's ai:,ility to }~~1y a uti~ity bill oz- a iitility's ~~illi~ngness to make rare ~djust7nei~~_s, h~~t ~ti-e belieae it is szi11 o~~e of ~
manr in~}~ortant factors, C3nc ti~•ay to evzalua~te wealth ar,z-1 inco~nc lt:~rels is to (oo!< at tl~e household/}~er capita
~tfective hizpi~~; i~~conic~~ oi the (oct~lity rclative rc~ d1e ~lvet•~~ge U.S. level.
~erOV`? EiJ% ~.D~-v
GJ~~~ - ~~`~~i L~C~~~Ll}.t~te
9~% - 1 ~0~~~ GOt')d
110 ~o - 130~/~ Str~~2g
w~vv~,+.s~a~~~rda;rdpo~rs,c~m,rr~tings~ia•ecY ~
;tandard u Poor's /~Afl rights r,.tierved Ni> reprin[ or dia:er•~ination wiihour S&P s p2rrtissior SeP len is of ~1~F~Discleimer ~ri tl . I~ t pa~~
i ~
C~~riter~ia l Go~~c~r~s~syrs~~ats I U.S. Pzr~hlic f i~zcr~ace: tt~y ~~l~rter A,ad .Sezt~er~ Utility C,redrt Pct2io I:~~rz;zs
Abov~e 130"/c, ti'cry Strc~ng
~)~.}~t S~r~~Ti~~
Giatn ~11at there us~i.ally~ are le~al cosrenants ehat rei~uire an issuer to provicle so~7~e tr~ns~arent Ievel of sec~u•ity t~ the
bondl?olders, Stan~jar~~l & Poor's vieti~~s the tni~~innirn level of operatir~g revenues (excliidin~ im}~~ct fees an~i other
nonrecurrin~ rcven~ies) av~ilable for ~ebt sei-vi~e as get~erally~ sizfficie.it, i.e, l.Ox, for ail licns. t~ ratio of less t17an
1.Ox m~y ii~dicate a misr~larch l~ettueen revcni.~es ancl revenzie reqtairemen~s, and, possibly, a technical defalilt by thc
1>c~i3dt~older th~tt it~ay con-~pel further action su.ch as a cevievv of t11e appropriateness of tl~e c~.~rrent r~ate s~:Iledule azid
s~tructiirea
~~~10~ES~11~ OC t-L'710It~1~ S~SL~131"S~ Ol" )0111T 'r.1Ct10I1 ~~?i1ClE'.S~ CA%~llCl'7 t~/pIC~.1~3% pCOV2ClE YV~CZL' O!" SE.'TVGY S21V1CeS 011 ~
cc~st-of-service-b~~secl rate scne~iule9 will rypically have 1~wer covera~e, altl3~ugh tf~e criteria for ~--rholesale ucilities
vrhich ty~pically i;~clacl~s arl aii~lysis c~f the sv~tc~zl's participaiits' generai creciit~~~ortl~iness -;~liows less e~3phasis tc~
paid rt~ thc wh~les~~ler's financial inetrics.
<1.Ox I~lstifticient
I.O~ t~ ~i,25x ~ldequ~ate
L26x tt> 7 ,SOx C'sovd
> 1.50x Strong
~.,t{~?11t~1t~
~ typic~al w<ater utili;.y ear~Gs i~~ost os ics rcacn~ies often ~nom t}ian half fror~~ Viay thro~~gh Ai.igust. ~'Jhil~
sanitary se.vcr sv;tei~~; ryp~c~ 1{~~ 1<<~~F n~ore c~nsta~lt revei~ae flotivs, it is inc9~e~asia~gly comint~n Eor se~,ver billings to l~e
eiti~cr tied tx,> u~e~ c?F°?n~~n~, or evei~ bc a;lat, fi-~ed i-ate. ~ecau,c the~-e is i1,~i;a11v sui~~~c fli~cxuaEion i~~ c~sh flows di~e
t~ tieas;~nal dein>ln;ls, tize :~n~~i~»t oF ~~~ecipit~~tie~,, c>r s~ther econ.~mic o~~ custc>iner b:~se ttci~cis, we loo~~c tc> tivlzEtller a
~~xility ~tas st~~n~ rc~asonak~lc levet ot ~uir~s~,i~tcci c~~isla ~r ec~~riva.l.~~nts for ~~ori:~in~ capit~l, tn ~irr ar.alysis, Sr~nd~rt!
i'c;.>>-'s als~~ giv~s c3~edi~ ~~asl~ <~n{.~ izzl~st~x3ents that ~~~ay ~e csesign~~ted, i,~ut ultin~~iatelv a~~<;ilable t~r anv lazvf~al
~~Llt-Y)(.t~C' Sl.l~}1 ~75 a i'C77E:i3,%?~ ~1.~tt'~ ic;tll£1C;f`,TI~IC'Ii~ }L131Ci t)1" ~l C~ikt' StZE~I~1Z<1~C1~JP. {'3.1i1t~, ~Ciii'~.~1~~V S~.>L~l~ii37y, 4 Si'SCC'.'tl tll.lk
siz~~~1}~ distributes ~ third party's t~~e-~ted ~rat~v~r tt> i~s cetail custc~n~ers, ~i ct>1le~ts ~nd c<~i~z~eys its se~re~° fi~tiis to a
ic~itan_il seu;et treaUrr~~~1t fa~iliry o}~erate~i ~anc~ti~ie.i ~r~tit~i, has less opcr<lting ~~1~ f~n~nci~l risl:, in o~,r view, and
rnay th~re~c3re rvc~~~i.ce l~ss ~vc~rlcinge~~pital.
days I.oYv
if) tc~ i~0 da~'s Adequaie
60 to 120 d~~vs Cin«d
>t20 c1a+;'s Strt>3;~
St~a~~~c~arcl ~v Poor's ~atin~~~air~c~ ~ Se~~tember 15, 2f108 ~
Stai~darU & Poor's AII ~ights ~~.s r~~d N~ r~pi;nt or rJ~,s.;u,inatioi ~M1nthr~~~tS&r s p~ i~ issir~i 5,, IF~rm of U.c, Dis~ la mer on th~ as[ Erage
j r
Crit~e~r~ig I Got~ernrnents I L`,S. Pzahlic Fiz~zcriacc. Key t~'aier Arac~ Seu~er Utzlity Credit Rntio Ra;z;es
~~ta1 ~~eb~ `I~c~ i~Ie~ ~'~~~~er~y, T'lan~ ~r~~ ~,q~~pr~~:~nt
Simply refe3•red to as "debt to piant,° this ratio is an ~ppr~xinlation thai c~n be iised as <a proxy for total system
indel~tedness. t~ ratio of 0% ineans the systein has no del~t o~itstaitding and "100% means tllere is as ~nuch debt
outstanclin~ as net depreciable value of th~ system's assets, altho~~gh it is certainl}~ possil~lc for the number to be
grew~ter than 100`?/~. Total debt per retail customer accaui~t is another useful n~easure in our view, but c~;hen the
issuer is a regiona7 c~r wholesalc system, t}ie nuniber of ~zltimate ~vleer meters is not aitivays discernable, System
inciel>tedt~e;s is iisefizl ft>r a nlaml~er t~f reasons: it can givc insi~lit intc~, for ex~ample, wl~eeher the systen~ is in the
n~iddlc ~f a large grovvth- or rel~abilitation-~, iven ctlpital prograan (i» ~vhich case t~x~ debt to plan~ number is higia).
It ca.n also be cl~sely tied. to the sys~ern's i-ates az~d capslcity for additi<~~nal clebt.
<40% Low
4'0`% to 6~`;'~ ~Zocierate
60% tc~ Moclerate#}~ higrl
>80°lo Hi~l~
~i~.~~ 3 ~ ~~~~~t~~t~~~r~ ~'e~~A~;~~t~~,e ~I~c~t~~ ~~~~.r~~ti~~~, ~~v;:n~~s
A syste~n's hi~h de~endenc~ c~n o~~~ c3r more of its priricipal c~~stomers tor reveni~e i~eeci not constrain its r~ltii~g.
Hou~ever, t}le fact a sys*can's bnszncss ~~ul~{ be he affc~;tc•~I by thc cl3angrng fortunes of cme of its prii~ci~~al c~istomers
shou~d not b~ o=,~erlool<ed either. Therefore, Sta.~idard Po~r's loc;ks at tile eelative t~iversity° or coticei~zration of
c,pez~a~inb reveniacs c~erived frc>r1 sales to c~~sto~lcrs tc~ g~~i~~ insight i~~to this pote~a~ti~1 <<uln~rability.
Exan;pies ~ni~ht i~1s;(ti~de a;~~~ter-intensive 4t~od processor shutteriag operatit>ns, r.l~e e~p~rati~~~ c~r r17e c:oiltract oi ~1
larb~~ ~v;loies~le custorner, or ~ i~la~jo~° local er~~~~loye?~ r~lc,c<~tin; a fa~ ility to som~ tivhere t~{rtsid^ t}le ser~~ice area.
t~t>nversel,v, if revenue zlistriL-~c~~ic~n am~r>>~~; thv ~rir~ci~-~~l cusro?ners is relatively eti~eri(y c~ispersed, conc.entrati~~i
L'Ot1C~'~~ [15 <ll'l; 111Ui'G ~l~^:C;~V' TV ~7t, illtil` ~IiCC~ CUf:Cl it 132 lOT1~tl:y Y}1C tt)}J CLiS~t)111Gt'S CCii;l~l'iSt. ~i ,RC(~i' ~?C)t'ili%Ii t)i TOi£t~
L'eit~Ill7eS,
< I S °i~~ Very diversc
I j%, tt> 25% ~ivecse ~
26`%> to 40`l> 1~~~~clerately c~~a~cent~i~~2ted
>40% :;oncentrated ~
~,lfi;~C~-~_~~1u~C~c ~;f~b'~;,'~~;~~`
Ssinil_,r t<, c{~(~t sei°vic•e, fixed c}-~ar~>e ~ ou~~ra~~r~ is `~tatida~•ci ~ P<>c>r's int~rnally adj;~ste~d c«veraye ctil~ t~lation tii~it
factnrs into acco~nt th.zt soi~~e utility s:stems ~re clistrih~iti<>tronly an.dlor collectiot~-tmly, tivith capital-in~rensi~rc
ti-eate~~ent ~lants built, o~vi~e;~ lncl <~p-rat~ec{ by anot~-,ei~ ent3~ty. {~bl,i~;~tions co tll~se thi~~d parxies are ty~ically
ofr-L>aia.a~c~ sl~cet at~d ~ften trezlred as oper~i,~,~ e:xpe5~ses, n~t deb~t, 7'ncse 3r~ay also incl~zde r~w-water pi.ircl~ases or
w~v~rvs~~s~~lar~l~~~~~~rs.cc~~~lr~~ing~t9ir~~t 5
5iir~ard &~oa~ ~ AII ri~ h[, ~ar4~e~ f I, re~;nnt ~ ch,semii~atior~ ~riirh~ut S€+~> E~ermission See T6~nr ~r Uss/Di~,ld msr or~ [he I~is1: E,<ir.,e ~
, i
Cr~zter~icz I Goi~ern~~~rel~ts I U.S. Pa~hlic Frra~tiac-e: I:eV ~s?c~ter Arid Seaves~ IJtelzty C~•~dit Ratio Rcara;es
othcr contractual obli~ations or participaiiori in a joir~t action agcncy.
~KIc believe fixe~l-charge coverage allorvs a mc~re realistic coinparison ber~veen "pipes-only" systems ai~d those that
also inchide tre~tment plants. S~tandard ~C I~UOC's treats ai~y recun•ing long-te~~m obligation as fixed, especially
capa~~ity payn~ients ~~r c~tiier minimum den~and costs that the systeG~~ rn~~st pay~ regardl~ss of wliether the service is
cleli-vcred. The adj~istcd dcbt scrvice coveragc c~kulation, therefore, removes these fixed cl~~lrges from c~perating
e~cE~enses anci instead tre~ts then~ as i# they ~vere debt, allowvig for a inore me~iningful quantitative conlparison
~ctti~recn these si~stctns and thosc cvith actual on-balaiicc shcet debt.
<1.Ox Iusufficient
i.Ox to l?Oa r~dcq~iat~
~1.21 x tc~ 1.4' (~x C={aod
>1.40<~ Str~ng
St:ar~dai-d ~ I'o<~i'~ ~~tina~s~3ire~~~ ~ Sep~kember 15: 2D08 6
~,~i da~d & Pco's 'II ri,ini, ~~,r-~~d I~Jo re~rint or diss mn,Utm i, th~~uC a& 's ~~F, r.iss~oi. S~e Ter-~s ot UsE;/Oisd<~neer oi} tlie laat page
~ I
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herein, c~ntacl ClionC SFi~'cas 55 Nlater STre.t. Neww Yor,;, NY 1004~!; (1 i212 n38 9823 or t~y e-r~ad to ~ earch reques±~staridardar,dpo~ars com
~ ~r=~
Copyrighi G 19J4-2008 SCanriard & Poor's, a divisiun oFThe McGraw-Hill Companies All. I;ight5 k;eserved- ~~v
vv~~a~.~r,st~r~~~r~'~nd~a~~r~.~~n~lratiaa~sd~re~t ~
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_r','~ P~ ..,,r .~x."~:~. . .~c~~: . ~a ?f,~.. v~"~,~ar~ x,~~~~~~~3C,~~.~r ,"~.X~'`~ z?~ ~
September 15, 2008 Y
~ri~~;~~~ ~ ~~~~~°~~e~~~ ~ ~'~~li~ ~i~~~~~:
~ ` ~ - ~~V1S~.~'~ ~.~~`~~f~~:
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ t~~r~ ~:v~~~_, 1~r~ ~
~~~~~.i~~~~~~: ~~.~~~~~f ~~~v~~~~.~~ ~~c~~c~~
Prirnary Cre~lit An~lysts;
Theoclore Chapman Oallas ~1j 214-871-1401; theodore_chapm?n@stanqardandpoors com
James Wiemken, Chicago (1) 312-233 7~05; james_wiemken@s~~ndardandpoors.com
~~3~3~{:" ~_,C~~I~~;~"d~5
~Y`~t'VI~~~J
Sect~r's ~unclamental Szrel~gtl~ Is Base~ C)n Stable Dern~ind
~ationale ~~r Revision
I~ey ~ati?-~g ~"~ctc~rs
~~c•tc~rs Sup}~oz•ting The 2~08 C;~-iteria Revision
~i.e~~t~a~ f~
rtlC~?S
~ Secc~nd~xry Crcdit~ Anal,ysts;
e~~r~~+~.stan~ar~i~n~l~o~rs,c~i~I~atang~dir~~t 1
Standa~tl ~ Pobr's Ail ugiats reservetl No reprin? or ~isse~rmatian ~Nith t~ S&P's ren i ssion See Terms of ~
Use/Oi;clairr~er nir ihe last paqe
t r
C~i~~~i~ J~~v~~r~~~~~~~~ ~ U.~, P~~~i~ F~~~~~~~:
~.r ~;ri~~t-~~ ~t~~ ~ti~~~
r~ ~i~i~~
s
C~v~rviev~~
Standard ~ Poor's R~tings Services has revisecl its critcria fc~r rating U.S. pu~ilic finance ~v~lter~vocks, sanitary seti~,=e~;
ancl drainage iitility revcniie bc~nds. ~/e ci~rre3ltly in~lint~in ratings on a~~proYirnately 900 isstiiecs of t~~aterworks,
sanitary sei~~ec, anc!!~r di-ainage ~itility reventiie ~on~ls.
~ It is cxpectecl that the criteria re~~ision will lead to a r~uml~er of u~gracies over tinle, witl~ n~any ratings moving to ihe
caee~ory or hi~;her. i~~Tunicipalities may alsc~ oth~n and/or t~peratc other enterprises sucl~ as electric utilities, solici
~vastc, or other systcrus. tiYlhile cn~ai~y of thc tlicmes addressed belos,v~ alsc> apply in part or izl tot~ll to thcse other
eiircrprises, 5tandard ~ i'oor's will address rating criteria specificall~ to~~ thc~se enterprises at ca later date.
As s*ated in the Marc}~ 7, 20{~8, ~rticlc, "II.S. Pub(ic Pinancc €Zatia~g Characteristics,° 5tandard c~. Poor's continu~~lly
reviwivs irs criteria to prornote ratirlgs ttlat best reflcct issuei crediT clt~ality and defau(t perfor~nance. St~ndard 8c
Poar's bclie-ves ~tha2 the stability of vvate~~wor(<s, sani~~ry sewer, ~ndlor drai3lage utilities allo~vs g~•eater emphasis to
be ~l~ced on ivhar is ~isually tl7e inonopolistic ~rovisic~n of ce(atively price-inelzstic resource or service by a ~
m~inicipality ~>r- regionaJ provicicr, rvith less emphasis orl specific rate Icve(s,
In previ~~~is criteri~ revisio~ls, Stand~trd P~~r's iloted tliat legal ~~rt3visions of the iss~~er tt>~lc oi~ lLss iam}~ortance if
actua( financial pcrformance ct>nsistently a.i~d strongly exceeded minimiz~n cove~~antcd reqiiirements. Individual
tatilities tivhr~se ability to set r~~res as ~~~eeded tc~ mai~lr~~ai,n st<ible mai-gins as demonstrated by operating histories,
n~anagc~~~lent policics, or detailed fut~lre plans -~rc therefUrc gcnea~<~lly n~io~re crcdittivarthy in our v~icw. ~
~;3~°~~~~'s ~~~t~~~~~~~~~;~ta~ ~tr~~~~t~~ I~ ~~~~c~ C3~~ ~)~~~~~~c~
fJur belief in t}~e ftm~anzent<tl stre~~gth of ti~is sect~r is supparted by the gLn.ral n~tion that per ca~ita consum}~tion
pattcrns show that there is generally not m~ich variailce iz~z [lie long-ter~~i dem~ild for mui~icipal ti~tility services
reg~lt•c{less of rc~no~~ic coz~ditiosis. Sin~~ly ptiiz, o~~r ciata suggests th~t r~merica~ls c~ntinLie t~ watcr, wrash, a~nd flusll
with little, if ~3iy, long-term sensitivity t<> conti~ued rate adjust~zients rec~iured by t~e costs of serti~ice. Rate
a~j~istrneilts are ~isually acknowledged, acceptcci, and incorp~rlted intt~ f~~inily or commercia( budgets, atind utilities
co~ltin~ie to service t}ieir debt ai~d athei- long-ter37~ obli~atioz7s. ~lzere resistance does occur arc>uncl larger r~ate
incrcases, statc anc( Ecderal maa;date5 often cir•iue tl~esc rcc~uirements, provic9ing the case and thc political justificatic~?
~ foi~ them clespite their unpopiilar azz~ture. Jefferson County, Al~a. is a clear exceptian t<~ tt~iis observed behavior
because of its se~~ve~r systein's deter~ioratinb credit q~~ali~y.
becti~~sc t~f tllese ohserved strergths9 Stand~zrd & Poar's is c<~mpreh~:z~sively reviewulg tl~e ratings o~~ all outstandin~;
c~v<l~er, se~ver, a~~d drainage ~itility reventi~, bonds, It is lilcely that this revie~v ti~vill lcad to a nti~alber c~f n}~grades over
ti~rie, x(th:7~i~h nc>t ~ll i•atings are Exp~~tec~l t<a be raised, In cases where ~vc bclieve systein volat~ility, political intactic>i~
Stanci~ard & Poor"s ~~Yia~g~[~ireat ~ September 15, 2008 Z
Standar[I ~ Poor's AI; iights reservetl No reprint o~ 9isseminatio~, e~ithout SR" s pArmi~sion Se~ Ta~ms of I1setDisr,lalmer or ~the i~st page ~
+ c
Cri~teri~~ I<rover~~nzerits I U. S, 1'zahlic Fit~a~race: Stanclarc~ ~ Poor's Re~~ises Crit~ria F'or IZctt±rig tX/ater, Seiver, And
Drnincr~e Lltilrty R~;z~enue Bonds
c~r resistance to rate adjustmeilts, or cost presst~res ai~d tiveak n~iai•gins co~i~~bine ro threaten the likclihc~>od th~t
rec~arrin~ revenues will be sufficient to meet o~~goi~~g expei~ses, ratir,gs differentials will continue to reflect our
a«alysis of these factors.
~'~~~~~~~a~e ~'c~~ ~cvi~it~~~
~Ith~i.lgh we ]~ave generally Ic7ol:ed at these factors histoncally, we now believe tiley are s~ifficient(y established to
~~~af~~-ant a reassessnlent of ot~r Lriteria, as most u~ater and sewer utiliries have notiv operated successfiilly,
u;aencumbereci by maj~r state rulcilor fecleral ma.nd~ates for ~Zeariy a decade. The dee~des prior to tl~is one w~re
mari<cd by a series of new regulations rangiag fi-o~n coinbined sewer overflow~s, to secondar} ~reat~~~ien.t, ta w~ter
qi.iality standarcls <and wastewater dis~:.~harge permits. Cl~~n w~ter, s<3fe tivare~, and drinL<i~ig watcr progr~ms i~lposed
neavp cos[s on n~any systen~s and only recently h~vc the stal~ility of rnunicipalls~ ~~~vued systeins become fi~lly
a~~~aareitt in our opinia~l. We (~eli~ve this critei-ia cha.n~e i~ now~ ap~r~pri_ate, givecl tl~e si.iccessful iz~~.n~geinetlt ~~f
federal and st~te prog?-ams oE~ea~ ~ narv-rncasurable ~erioc~ of tinlc.
~~ati~~~; ~'~~tt~~°~
The rti(ative weight of individwal critecia elemeilts is disci~sse,cl in detail in oi:i#~ U,S, Public Finance Criteri~l se:;tion on
}Zatii~gsllirccr (the mosr recent article u~as pu(~lished Jiii~e 2~, 20t)7). ~Iheri eval~xEltij~g water and sewei~ systems,
Sranda?rd & Po~r's examines six xnain f<~ctai•s.
~ Econornic considerations;
~ Pin~~~cia1 data/capital ir,3prove~nent pl~~n;
» Rate-sctting philos<~phy ~nd practices;
~ Opz~r~tit~nll ch~racteristics;
~ ~ ~'~/lU~jllgement; anr3
m ~.ega) p~-oirisions.
~r'ari~ti?on in thc= t•el~tive sta~enbths or we~l;neescs in ~a~~y of thcse factors can inf(ucnce oi~r opu7i~>r5 of
credit~rrt~rthiness ~~a~d, ~ccc,~°ci~il~ly, o?ir ratin~s. T}iere is ~~zo d~p~r~:ie~it re1_irionsl~ip bettivecz? a general t>bligarioz7
(G~t~) ratin.~ ~n~ t11~ re~fen~~e raii~~g of thz s~lit~c entiry. DL~c to the si7nificancc of tl~e servi~e area ar~ci econo~nic base
i~ <>ur a~a_~lyrsis and ttz~ freq~2ent overlap ot seilior staff ~t the go~~ern~nent t~nc~ ut~ilitr levels, the rati~~gs of GO borl~ls
ancl revcil~i~ k~o~~cis rend to bc close, bizt there is alst? si~nificanR roo~n for divergci~ce, as seen i~~ t17e case oi ~etfersc>n
L,t?? 1 i1Y V..
~ tia~:~~~~~~ ..~,h~~ ~,~`~~4 {~~~~~~~ri~ ~~~~,>i~i~s,~
I~II~nc~~~~li:~ti~; ~ervi~e pr~visit~n
The U,S. has mc~re thai~ 160,0~J0 ~~~1~1ic di-ini<in~ w~a~ter svstern~, i~vi~ich are defined as systems servi~l~ at least 15
ciis~o;3~l~;a•s or 25 ~eo}~le regiilr3rlv. ~)t that a3;~oun~t, about d,00~ systea~ns, n~arly all m~z~~icip~~fly o~rrned, sertie xlearly
~(~'/a vF the [J~S, p:~pularic~rt, in~ii+.:ati~i.g the n<ztt~ral tr~n~ toward largc Econor~liea of sc~le and a busisless profile that ~
i; lc~~w in ris!: an~i clocs nvt s~-a}~ fro~7~ its co3~c business c~f p~~-ovi~{ing tivaxer and se~~;~et- serviccs, Generally, the5c
m~anicipaliti~s th~t }~i-c~vide ~i~~tz?ble watcr siistril~ution at~dlo~- sc.i,vcr col(ectir~ri and tre~~nnei~t, anc~ in many cayes
cirai~~a;c: systenls, ;Zre t11c sole prvvi~ier c~~f su.t;l~ s~i-vices ~tirt~in thcir• service ar~a, !~s s~~ch, thei~ ar~ efFectivclv
~rjre~v,s2asa~~rdaaadpaers.c;~~nlr~tin~~~9r~~t ~
St~ndard &°aor's ?,!I rights cscervecl No rer~m~,~r di;semim~tio~; ~Nithout 5&P' ~.~-,rmissi, i SN. lasrn; oflJse/Disclaime! cr the last pa~e ~ ~ ~ ~
1 r
Criteyza I Cioi~ernrraerrts I U.S. Pzablac F'inasace: Sta;?ctcrrcl ~ I'oc>r's Revises Cr~i2r~r~zc~ F'or lZcrtirz;~ ~~Vctter, Sea~ve~•, f~t~d
~ I~rairz~~~e Utility Ree~e~zu~ Bonds
mono~~alies, either r~ata~°atly or statutorily. Even ii= i°etail customer clioice were all~tived, ~~~a~tcr and se~ver service is so
capital irltensive, it is lilceiy neither econoinic nc>r rea~listic for meanin~;ful ct~nlpetition e~ exist; this natural
mono~oly is a de facto barricr to er~try, and t1~e eustomer base of the iitiiity is +nore or less a captivc c~ne.
Price ineiasticity, rare competiTiv~~aess, and rate autoi~oany
~ Whilc c~lemand ~~aries greatly by regio? in the ~J.S., making ~ natianal suinamarv on water consurt~pti.on, rates ancl
trends difficult, a look at the pe.rf«rinance o# many larger systen~s indicates that per capita consumption a measure
of dem ind that incorporates p~pLtlation ch~~7~es sho~~-s little long-term sensitivity to the ec~nor~ly, rate
aclj~is*r~~ents, ~nd sometimes even watec canservation measures. ~Uhile most <>f these fact~rs may rluse shnrt-terin
cle~-reasc:s in dcmand, cvatcr cc>nscrvaxion measures, as thc general exception and ~~~hen silp~orted by constant public
ed~lcation eftorts, have led to pecma~~ent red~~ctio~ls i~~ ~er capit~l c~ns~un~tion. Hc>wever, utilities that have
effectively irnple~7~ented such probrams ha~ee tyFpically a.lso 1c~justed rate schecl~ales sucl~ that rcvenues ~vail~ble fur
clebt service an~l t~thcr revenue requiretnei~ts are eYfectively helc{ constaslt, ~naintaini~g financial stability regardiess
of rvtather o3• sv~tcr si.ippl} trcnds and r~ffsetti~lg long-tcrm deinand reduction.
Furt~~ermore, wi~ile so~1~ cc~nun~rcial sectors are extren~ely sensitive to the cost of w~~tei, sach as agricultui•e and
Eooc{ }~~~Lessing, teYtiles, ~and znic~~o~liip mani~f~~etilri~~g, tnzr analysis indicatcs rhat most business users cfemonstrate
si3nila3- c~nsuinptio~~ ~~atterns to residential customers ~~~~d arc unlikely tc~ m~ake w<~ter rates the priTn~ry c~i-iver of
thei~• decisions. ~
I~i~~lally; <~nd inaybe rnost impvrtantly, is that tnuni~i~~l utilities genei-alty have co~n~lete rate aut~noiny an~u busin;~ss
m~dels that difter from investor-otivi~cd utilities. Tt~c local decision-making politie~~l bocly is usil~lly the one solely
r~spc~s~sible for a~,proving ~r1t3 in~~~lenlentin~ rate adjustiner~ts. In oaly a few states dc~cs a~nunicipality ~zeecl soine
kind of r•cbzllatory bociy, sizcl~ zis a pubiic stirvice coinznission, to approve a ra~te t~djlist~nent. ~liinicipal trtilities
rypicall}- o~erat~ on a cosr recovery basis, iiot on a rate-of-rettlrn basis; a=_iy lcind oi return o~1 iizrestment usu~lly
becor~aes a trlnsfe~ }~aqmem to the general ~c~vernment, ?ot a dividenci deriveti fron~ a proFit mzirgin. This h~s l~ad
the tei~itier~cy t<~ keep rates eclatively affordable even in places 1,vitl~z les5 tkian favoral~le ha~:~seht~~d income and wealth
Icvcls.
F~e~;ui~tary re~lities
Large reg~.~lae.~~-v-~riven ca~~itai plar~s ha~re ~fte~~ ilistorically been a negativc r~tin~ facto~- in rur an3lysis, r~tiising ~
concerns r~:gzlrclsng f~iture co~ ~r~ag~ iev~ls ancj higher raees. C~ver timc, horv~ver, u~el3-zi~anaged utiliti~s llave prz~vcn
t}~at <a large capital plan need not ~~versely a{fect fina~~ces if pro~~er'I}~ planned f~r. History has demonstrated that
~;<>ocl rate r~anagesr~ent an~ ro~rin3t~i~icatiflr? reg~3rdinb t~e nee~i Eo~ rate i~~ceeases e~n s~stain a strt~ng tinai3~ia1
p~~sition ~{cspite the pressures of a iaa-gc capital ~~lan. ti~/nile the magnit~ide of fec~eeal rcgulatory renuirements and tl~e
peric~d over rvkiich t~le~ may k~e accc~mplished ~~arrar~t corltin~ious monitUrinQ llecause t3f zl~e pt~tential impact on
~itiiity, the a;siirn~-,tion that m~st uti(itiUs ca~~nt~t h<laldle these re~~~iremenis igr~ic~res the consider•a~it~n oF affordability
by rcgulatnrs, t~e tlex.iuility aild c~-eatiti~ity i~~ financing shotiva by gov~rn~~ents, azld tlze tr~~1: recard thLls far.'~i'he
debate ~~ver tP~e levc( ~anc! iundi~~g miX oi infrastructure fun~`ing is ar i~npt~rtant one, bizt 4vcr~ infrasrructure
i~~s~~~fEicie~~cies to slcnv ec<>n~mic groti~ith in an ar~ it is irnporta~~i to i~ote that g~31era1 governinei~t credit qtiiality
cotild be as affectec{ (if i.ot n~o~-e s:~} <~s t1~e ueility's s:rediT qu~li~ya
Stand<ird ~ Poor"~ Ratan~st3ise~~ j September 15, 2008 ~ 4
Star.d~rd &~'ooi`s AII righ[s ~eserv~d nlo reprint o~ disseminaiion ~,~~ifhout S&P~s permission See Tarms of Use/Dlsr,la~in2r ~r tr.e !ast page ~ ~
~ ~
C:rlte~~ic! I G~~i~ertrme~rtfs I U.S. Pu,hfa~c~ ~+raarzce: Stai~dc?rc~ Poor's 1Zevt~es C:riterz~c~ i~~~~r P~att7~ig ~~'c2tc:r, Sc~iver, And
~ Drcrinc~g~e Utility Prveyrtre Bonc~s
~~,:;~~~f',~ c~a~`~tt:,~~~
"IZ1tin~;s Pcrf~rin~~~cc in U,S, Piiblic Fin~nce" (,July 2J, 200~) ~
"U.S. ~~~anici}~al Rating Transitioi~s ~~~d Defaults, 1986-20~8" (Marciz 2~, 2008)
"~J.S. Public Finance ~~.ating Cha~racteristics" (A1Aarch 7, 2008)
"U,S. Public Fii~ance keport Carci: ~°yater Siip}~iy Pressures Co~ald Test The Stability Of Providers" (Feb. 4, 2~08)
"U.S. Puhlic Fin.an~e Criteria: ~XJzter t'1nd S~wer Ratin~s" (_Jane 25, 2007)
"'?'I~e l~elcvance ef Legal Provisions in ~°Jater-Seuaer IZatings" ( june ~I 2002)
~~~~~~~~~R;~% ~v~•~~i~ i~~s~l~-~~t~3
J~~mes Freedi~~g, l~all~s; 1214) ~ i"1-1~J7; Jai~~es_Ereetiing@stand<~rdandpc>ors.ctjm
Co~ ey~ ~'ricd~~nan, C;l;i~ago; (3l2) '733-701 Cc~rey_f~riedinan@st~ndard~andpoors.coi~~
.Je73nifer ~~.os.~o, N~~~ Yarl<; (2 i 2) 9~ i~-79b4; .Jennifcr_l~:cssoCst~i~darclandpoo~ s.com
J~~in Sugden, Ncw~ York; (212) 438-1675, Jolin_SugdenC~stanc~ardancip<~ors.cor~~i
Ia~~ C;arroll, San F'r~~rlc~iscc~; (4"15j 371-~'ifl50; ~tan_C;arroll@stand~lydandpoors.com
Paul D,vs~.t~, San Francisco; (415) i77 -5079; Paul_Ij}rso~1@standardanclpt~~~~s.com
~Iist;~~ N,~~viand, San F~ran~is~~o; (4"(5) 3%1-5073; Misty_t~ievb~lail~l~standar~lai~dpoors.co~~
I,isa Sc(~~rc~e~r, S~n ~ranci_>co; {41S) 371-5005; Lisa_Sc-l~aroccrL>stand~rd~~ndpoors.coixi
~~w~~.st~~~3~rd~n~3po~rs.c~r~-~/r~tia~g;~ir~c~ S
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self any ser,uriiies or ~nake any otf~ier investment decisions, Acr.ordingly, any user of t,tie inforrnation ~ontained herein shuultl n~t rely on any creFht ratin~ or other opinion
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Stand~rcl I'oor's ~3~tis~gsi~'sr~c~ ~ September 15, 2008 6
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