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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCouncil Presentation 09/01/2020-FY 2020-2021 Monthly Update RevenuesFiscal Year 2020-2021: Monthly Update Revenues ITEMS FOR DISCUSSION Current State of Economy Revenue history, April-June July revenue update BUDGET BRIEFING 2 BACKGROUND COVID-19 caused GDP to fall by 32.9% in the second quarter ended June 30, 2020 Unemployment stands at 10.2% nationally (July) and 10.0% in AZ (June) Federal relief funds help keep economy afloat, but continuation is uncertain Economic recovery still uncertain without proven vaccine or therapeutic solution expected for months BUDGET BRIEFING 3 FY2021 INDICATORS Real-Time Indicators & Trends Marana Hotel Occupancy rate fell by 10.2% ( July Year over Year) Marana Hotel Revenues declined by 11.6% (July Year over Year) Housing Permits still being issued but future is uncertain 855 issued in FY2020 vs 802 in FY2019 205 issued April –June 2020 vs. 256 in April –June 2019 103 issued in July 2020 vs. 83 in July of 2019 BUDGET BRIEFING Sources: STR Report, JLBC, Marana Development Services 4 F/Y 2020 Projections vs. Actuals April-June actual revenues compared to pre-pandemic anticipated projections BUDGET BRIEFING Category Projected change Actual change Sales Tax Retail -50%+6% Utilities & Insurance -20%+12.6% Construction -40%Unchanged Restaurants & Bars -65%-20.1% Hotels -65%-38.2% Intergovernmental State Shared Sales Tax -50%+13.1% Auto Lieu Tax -35%+10.6% Development Related -50%-5% 5 April –July Revenues General Fund Sales Taxes BUDGET BRIEFING $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 $3,000,000 $3,500,000 April May June July Sales Taxes - Pre-COVID Projection Sales Taxes - COVID19 Projection Sales Taxes - Actuals 6 July General Fund Collections Year On Year Comparison BUDGET BRIEFING $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 $1,200,000 $1,400,000 $1,600,000 2019 Actual 2020 Budget 2020 Actual *Some hotel sales tax payments were deferred for the months of April-June and were paid in July. 7 Revenues are better than anticipated Still early to determine the future which will depend on Federal relief funds Virus solution (Vaccine or therapeutics) Effectiveness of current measures Stay the course while uncertainty remains Continue to monitor revenues BUDGET BRIEFING IN SUMMARY 8 DISCUSSION 9