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Home My WebLink AboutCouncil Presentation 12/15/2020-Triadvocates Election Legislative UpdateElections & Legislative Update December 15, 2020 TOWN OF MARANA Today’s Agenda Arizona Election Overview 2021 Arizona Legislature Political Landscape Arizona Election Overview Arizona Election Overview •3,420,565 – Number of ballots cast (compared to 2,661,497 in 2016) •79.9% – Voter turnout; the highest in Arizona history •1996 – Last time Arizona voted for a Democratic presidential candidate (Clinton) •1953 – Last time Arizona had two Democratic U.S. Senators •Republicans will maintain majorities despite predictions that Democrats could flip one or both state legislative chambers, •Both Prop. 207 (marijuana) and Prop. 208 (education funding) easily passed President Joe Biden (D) 49.36% 1,672,143 Donald Trump (R) 49.06% 1,661,686 Mark Kelly (D) 51.16% 1,716,467 Martha McSally (R) 48.81% 1,637,661 Federal Races U.S. Senate Kelly will finish late Sen. McCain’s term set to expire in two years and is expected to run for reelection in 2022. 0 2 Federal Races – U.S. Congress Race Candidate Vote CD 1 Tom O’Halleran* (D) 51.61% CD 2 Ann Kirkpatrick* (D) 55.10% CD 3 Raúl Grijalva* (D) 64.57% CD 4 Paul Gosar* (R) 69.74% CD 5 Andy Biggs* (R) 58.88% CD 6 David Schweikert* (R) 52.17% CD 7 Ruben Gallego* (D) 76.69% CD 8 Debbie Lesko* (R) 59.56% CD 9 Greg Stanton* (D) 61.63% * Incumbent All incumbents will return to D.C. The current party ratio for the Arizona delegation remains the same. 5 4 Ballot Measures Proposition 207 Legalizes possession and use of marijuana for adults (21+) in Arizona and permits individuals to grow up to six marijuana plants in their residences. Yes ….. 60.03% No ….. 39.97% Proposition 208 Establishes an income tax surcharge on taxable annual income over a certain threshold – $250,000 in income for single persons, $500,000 for married joint filers – to provide additional funds for public K-12 education. Yes ….. 51.75% No ….. 48.25% 2021 Arizona Legislature 2021 ARIZONA LEGISLATURE SENATE HOUSE 16 Seats 14 Seats 31 Seats 29 Seats Current Split: 17 – 13 Current Split: 31-29 2021 Legislative Leadership Majority Leadership: •Rusty Bowers, Speaker •Travis Grantham, Speaker Pro-Temp •Ben Toma , Majority Leader •Leo Biasiucci, Majority Whip Minority Leadership: •Reginald Bolding, Minority Leader •Jennifer Longdon, Assistant Leader •Domingo DeGrazia, Whip Senate House Majority Leadership: •Karen Fann, President •Vince Leach, President Pro-Temp •Rick Gray, Majority Leader •Sonny Borrelli, Majority Whip Minority Leadership: •Rebecca Rios, Minority Leader •Lupe Contreras, Assistant Leader •Martín Quezada, Co-Whip •Victoria Steele, Co-Whip MARANA DELEGATION DISTRICT SENATE HOUSE LD 11 Sen. Vince Leach (R) 1.Appropriations 2.Finance 3.Judiciary Rep. Brett Roberts (R) 1.Military Affairs & Public Safety 2.Education 3.Criminal Justice Reform Rep. Mark Finchem (R) 1.Military Affairs & Public Safety 2.Natural Resources, Energy & Water 3.Judiciary LD 9 Sen. Victoria Steele (D) 1.Transportation 2.Natural Resources, Energy & Water Dr. Randy Friese (D) 1.Appropriations 2.Health & Human Services Rep. Pamela Powers Hannley (D) 1.Commerce 2.Ways & Means 3 Seats 3 Seats Political Landscape •GOP trifecta remains intact; strong conservative leadership in both chambers •Tensions continue to rise between some GOP legislators and the Governor regarding executive power •Party ratios are nearly identical, but dynamics within caucuses will significantly shift (deficit in moderate legislators; new minority leadership in the House) •15 new legislators; 2 in the Senate (1 R, 1 D) and 13 in the House (10 Rs, 3 Ds) •State revenue collections have been higher than anticipated •Bills from last session may be “fast-tracked” in some capacity •Legislating in the midst of a global pandemic; logistical unknowns Legislative Opening Day is January 11, 2021 Political Landscape STATE FISCAL FORECAST Finance Advisory Committee – October 8, 2020 •State revenue collections have been higher than anticipated (what was projected to be a $(190)M FY20 shortfall due to COVID is now an ending balance of $372M for FY20); •New estimates project a FY21 ending balance of $411M and a FY22 ending balance of $93M, assuming no long-term spikes in COVID require business shutdowns •The higher FY 2020 balance is a function of both revenue growth and the Executive using $396M from the federal CRF monies to supplant General Fund spending. •$970 million remains in the Rainy-Day Fund CRF CARES ACT – AZ ALLOCATIONS Arizona’s total Coronavirus Relief Fund allocation is $2.82 billion for state and local governments. The state received $1.86 billion, to date the Governor has committed approximately $1.48 billion and has about $380 million left to allocate. The following has been allocated: •$441 M to small local governments. Full list of individual allocations •$396 M to reimburse $300 million in General Fund spending for public safety and health personnel costs, $96 million in Other State Fund spending •$370 M to public schools for enrollment declines •$150 M for the AZ Express Pay Program, to expedite payment for FEMA grants •$70 M to Department of Health Services for direct COVID expenses •$25 M to increase hospital staffing •$9 M to the Secretary of State for COVID-19 response efforts and early voting opportunities •$8 M to the universities for testing, surveillance, and other response efforts •$5 M for support of 2020 census •$4 M to AZ Office of Tourism to develop a strategic recovery plan & domestic marketing •$2 M for the AZ Commerce Authority to assist businesses •$2 M for the AZ Stay Connected Program to provide $10,000 technology grants to skilled nursing facilities and Intermediate Care Facilities. •$2 M for AZ Virtual Teacher Institute 2020 POLICY ISSUES EXPECTED TO CARRYOVER IN 2021 •Transportation / Gas Tax •Public Works Contract Payment •Tourism Marketing Authority •Firefighters Workers Comp Cancer Presumption •State Affordable Housing Tax Credit •Short Term Rentals Reform •COVID -19 Civil Liability POLICY ISSUES EXPECTED IN 2021 •Election Reform •Criminal Justice Reform •Autonomous Vehicle Legislation •Construction Tax Reform •Alcohol To-Go Legislation •Innovative Healthcare Solutions; Telehealth •Broadband Expansion •COVID -19 Related Response Julie Rees, Principal Julie@triadvocates.com Lourdes Peña, Public Affairs Advisor Lourdes@triadvocates.com