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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCouncil Presentation - FY23-24 Budget Planning 01/10/2023BUDGET PLANNING January 10, 2023 BUDGETITEMS FOR DISCUSSION •Strategic Plan, Vision & Focus Areas •Current Year Accomplishments •General Fund FY2024 Preliminary Outlook •Council Discussion Items BUDGETSTRATEGIC PLAN •Vision: •Marana is a trailblazing community that raises the bar for the best quality of life. •Mission: •Five-star service for a thriving community. •Focus Areas: -Cherished Heritage -Vibrant Community -Thriving Commerce -Healthy Lifestyles -Proactive Public Services BUDGET ACCOMPLISHMENTS & INITIATIVES Terry RozemaTown Manager BUDGET ECONOMIC & BUDGET OUTLOOK Yiannis KalaitzidisFinance Director •Key Forecasting Assumptions: •Anticipating a “soft landing” with relatively strong employment •Moderate economic slowdown impacting most revenue categories •Sales Tax: Moderate reductions to most categories •Intergovernmental: Adjusted to reflect return to more “normal” income tax filings, inclusive of recent allocation adjustments and salary increases •License, Permits, & Fees: Reductions in SFR and other development related revenues •Inflation Rate: 7.1%(YoY November) FY2024 PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK •Sales Taxes •Moderate declines in retail, restaurant, hotels, and most other categories •Steep declines in construction related collections FY2024 PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK •Retail:5.0% •Utilities:0.0% •Construction: 40.0% •Restaurant: 5.0% •All Others: 5.0% 2023 Budget 2024 Prelim Budget $ Change % Change 36,215,052 33,718,033 (2,497,019)-6.9% 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Utilities Construction Restaurant & Bar All Other Hotel & Lodging Collections by Major Tax Category FY2022 FY23 Estimated FY23 Budget FY24 Prelim. 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 RetailMillions •Shared Revenues •Moderate declines in Shared Sales Tax, Income Tax, and Auto Lieu Tax FY2024 PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK •Shared Sales Tax: 5% •Shared Income Tax: 20% •Auto Lieu Tax: 5% Will change based on March estimates by ADOR and US Census estimates 2023 Budget 2024 Prelim Budget $ Change % Change 20,148,736 17,623,542 (2,525,194)-12.5% 6.0% 2.0% 4.0% 4.9% 4.0%4.4%4.7% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 2023 2024 2025 2026 Arizona Revenue Growth Current Estimate Prior Year Estimate * Data provided by JLBC Budget Update 10/6/2022 Year Over Year Revenue Growth Forecast FY23-FY26 •Licenses, Permits & Fees •Single Family Residential (SFR) permits: •FY2023 Budget: 1,250 •Thru Dec. 31st: 242 •FY2024 Prelim: 500 FY2024 PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK 2023 Budget 2024 Prelim Budget $ Change % Change 5,000,000 1,900,000 (3,100,000)-62.0% 687 794 802 855 1,067 1,303 242 1,250 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2023 Budget Single Family Residence Building Permits By Fiscal Year FY2024 PRELIMINARY GENERAL FUND SUMMARY Note 1: Sales tax revenue projections for FY2023 could change significantly based upon additional data received from ADOR. Additionally, by development agreement, 45% of monies collected from the Marana Center will be reimbursed back to the developer for public infrastructure. Note 2: Intergovernmental/shared revenue projections may change. Final budget will be based upon ADOR projections & US Census population estimates (~March 2023). * Excludes ARPA funding received earlier than anticipated (FY2022 vs. FY2023) Revenues FY2023 Adopted Budget FY2024 Prelim Budget FY2024 $ Change FY2024 % Change Sales tax revenues $ 36,215,052 $ 33,718,033 (2,497,019)-6.9% Intergovernmental revenues* 20,148,736 17,623,543 (2,525,193)-12.5% Licenses, fees & permits 8,633,000 4,120,500 (4,512,500)-52.3% Other 2,129,471 2,961,471 832,000 39.1% Total Revenue $ 67,126,259 $ 58,423,546 $ (8,702,713)-13.0% Summary Ongoing $ 61,550,513 $ 57,740,098 $ (3,810,415)-6.2% One-time 5,575,746 683,448 (4,892,298)-87.7% Total Revenue $ 67,126,259 $ 58,423,546 $ (8,702,713)-13.0% GENERAL FUND: PRELIMINARY FISCAL IMPACTS Preliminary revenue reduction $ (3,810,415) Potential Fiscal Impacts: Health insurance (10%)503,755 Workman's comp (10%)72,031 Total impacts before other costs 575,786 Prelim. total revenue reduction & cost increases $ (4,386,201) FY 2023 unused budgeted ongoing revenues 4,913,864 Preliminary total available ongoing revenues $ 527,663 FY2024 –BASELINE BUDGETS •Departments to submit budgets that maintain current service levels & programs (ongoing non-personnel) •Increased ongoing budgets only when: •Supported by increased program revenue •Federal, State, or other mandate •Needed program expansion due to growth •One-time supplemental requests will be considered •Reallocation of existing budget capacity within departmental budgets FY2024 BUDGET PROCESS KEY DATES Dates:Stage in Budget Process Description January 10, 2023 Planning Preliminary budget outlook & Council goals/objectives January 27,2023 Preparing Base department budgets and preliminary carryover requests due to Finance Feb. 27 –March 3, 2023 Preparing Department budget Town Manager review April 25, 2023 Reviewing Manager’s Recommended Budget May 16, 2023 Approving Presentation & possible adoption of Tentative Budget June 20, 2023 Approving Presentation & possible adoption of Final Budget BUDGET PREPARING FOR FY2024 COUNCIL DISCUSSION Terry Rozema Town Manager BUDGETCOUNCIL DISCUSSION ITEMS •Community Needs •Council strategic initiatives •Key opportunities •Other areas or items to consider GENERAL FUND: AVAILABLE BALANCES & RESERVES $8.9 $9.3 $10.3 $11.0 $11.2 $11.8 $11.2 $13.4 $16.8 $9.7 $7.0 $7.9 $8.6 $14.6 $24.3 $42.7 $60.1 $47.4 $- $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 $70.0 $80.0 F/Y 2015 F/Y 2016 F/Y 2017 F/Y 2018 F/Y 2019 F/Y 2020 F/Y 2021 F/Y 2022*F/Y 2023*MILLIONSTarget Reserve Available